Odds of winning Daily Lotto: probability of each tier
Exact probabilities for one line, independent of stakes and prizes. They are the same in every draw.
Daily Lotto prizes by tier
| Tier | Matches | Probability | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 Matches | 1 in 376,992 | 0.000265 % |
| 2 | 4 Matches | 1 in 2,432 | 0.041115 % |
| 3 | 3 Matches | 1 in 81 | 1.233448 % |
| 4 | 2 Matches | 1 in 8 | 11.923330 % |
| Chance of winning something | 1 in 7.6 | 13.20 % |
Probability per line under the current rules, calculated exactly. The prize for a tier is the share of stakes allocated to that tier divided by the number of winners; for jackpot tiers, the amount is rolled over to the next draw if nobody wins.
Multiple lines
With n different lines, the jackpot chance is multiplied by exactly n (the lines are mutually exclusive).
| Lines | Jackpot chance | Chance of winning |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 in 376,992 | 13.2 % |
| 2 | 1 in 188,496 | 24.7 % |
| 5 | 1 in 75,398 | 50.7 % |
| 10 | 1 in 37,699 | 75.7 % |
| 20 | 1 in 18,850 | 94.1 % |
| 50 | 1 in 7,540 | 99.9 % |
| 100 | 1 in 3,770 | 100.0 % |
Average wait
Playing one line per draw, this is the average time you wait for the first win in the tier: (364 draws per year)
| Tier | Draws | years |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 376,992 | 1,035.7 |
| 2 | 2,432 | 6.7 |
| 3 | 81 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 8 | 0.0 |
For comparison
A jackpot chance of 1 in 376,992 is roughly equivalent to getting heads 19 times in a row when tossing a coin.